There are many sources of information to
assist with your sales forecast. Some key sources are:
·
Competitors
·
Neighboring
Businesses
·
Trade
suppliers
·
Downtown
business associations
·
Trade
associations
·
Trade
publications
·
Trade
directories
Sales
Forecasting for a New Business
Step
1 Step 2 Step 3 Step
4
These steps for
developing a sales forecast can be applied to most kinds of businesses:
Step 1:
Develop
a customer profile and determine the trends in your industry.
Make some basic assumptions about the customers in your target market.
Experienced business people will tell you that a good rule of thumb is that 20%
of your customers account for 80% of your sales. If you can identify this 20%
you can begin to develop a profile of your principal markets.
Sample customer profiles:
·
male,
ages 20-34, professional, middle income, fitness conscious.
·
Young
families, parents 25 to 39, middle income, home owners
·
Small
to medium sized magazine and book publishers
Determine trends by
talking to trade suppliers about what is selling well and what is not. Check
out recent copies of your industry's trade magazines. Search the Business
Periodicals Index (found in larger libraries) for articles related to your type
of business.
Step 2: Establish
the approximate size and location of your planned trading area. Use available
statistics to determine the general characteristics of this area. Use local
sources to determine unique characteristics about your trading area.
How far will your average customer travel to buy from
your shop? Where do you intend to distribute or promote your product? This is
your trading area.
Estimating the number of individuals or households can be
done with little difficulty using statistics census data. Statistics family
expenditure survey can identify what the average household spends on goods and
services. Information on planned construction is available from a variety of
sources. Directories the Yellow Pages can help identify names of companies
located in your trading area.
Neighborhood business owners, the local Chamber of
Commerce, the Government Agent and the community newspaper are some sources
that can give you insight into unique characteristics of your area.
Send an E-mail to omoleja@gmail.com For More details
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